Winter Forecast 2024 Europe Map. Early data shows that the polar vortex is likely to be weaker than normal in the winter of 2024/2025. The first look at winter 2023/2024 forecast shows an obvious influence of the new el nino event.
All graphical products are updated on the 10th day at 12utc; Below is an analysis/forecast image from nmme, which shows the enso ocean temperature drop as the warm phase ended in spring.